The first line of showers and storms pushed through overnight bringing plenty of heavy rain and gusty winds. There's a bit of a break behind this first line across much of western and central Virginia. There will be some redevelopment with the cold front as it swings through later this afternoon. Two big things worth watching the rest of the day:
1) Still keeping an eye on any clearing that might help fuel some stronger storms ahead of the frontal passage in south-eastern VA. The Storm Prediction Center continues to have this area in their "slight risk" for severe storms.
2) Cold air working in behind the front may catch up with moisture to provide a brief period of snow on the backend. The best shot will be across the higher elevations of West Virginia where some light accumulations will be possible, but can't rule out a few wet flakes mixing in before ending as far east as the western valleys of Virginia.
Surface Map 11:05am |
End Update
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Monday (4/14/14) 2:45pm Update
SPC Day 2 Outlook |
WRF-Model Radar |
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Sunday (4/13/14) 11:30am
As of 11am Sunday morning, temperatures have already climbed well into the 70s across most of the state. Gusty southerly breezes out ahead of our next cold front will continue bringing in lots of warm air. Day time highs should push 80 just about everywhere with some mid 80s possible across parts of the piedmont.
11am temperatures via MesoWest |
A cold front will approach the area during the day on Monday, producing some showers and maybe a few thunderstorms Monday night. These should start across far western VA by late afternoon before reaching the coast by dawn or so on Tuesday. The actual cold front won't swing through until Tuesday afternoon, bringing with it a line of moderate to heavy rain and a few storms. Conditions don't appear very favorable for widespread severe weather although it can't be completely ruled out across portions of central and southeast Virginia. There may be enough clearing in-between the pre-frontal showers and the line associated with the cold front to destabilize the atmosphere enough to help get some stronger storms going. I circled the area to watch for this below.
00z Euro for Tuesday 2pm via AccuPro |
Average Last Freeze via Garden Harvest Supply |
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