Big Warm-Up on Tap For Early Next Week

Summary

With little in the way of precipitation chances over the next 5 days, headlines will be on how nice we'll end the month of October.  A pattern change this weekend will culminate with well-above average temperatures early next week.  

Total Precipitation Through Tuesday. (00z GFS via TropicalTidbits)

Discussion

The upper level low off the New England Coast which was responsible for our chilly northwesterly breezes for the majority of the week is finally pushing northeast towards Nova Scotia. In the meantime, a trough is set to plow into the Pacific North-West bringing rain, winds, and even some higher elevation snow showers to parts of the Cascades.  This trough will eventually pivot towards the center of the country before fizzling out and lifting back into Canada.  What this will help do is pump a relatively strong ridge up the eastern seaboard leading to very warm temperatures to start next week. 

What It Means For Us
This ridge along the east coast will lead to a several day period of temperatures above average across the state.  The Shenandoah Valley has the potential to top 70 degrees Monday through Wednesday with Tuesday currently looking like the warmest day with highs likely topping out in the mid 70s.  It wouldn't surprise me if some areas across the Piedmont of North Carolina or Southside VA managed to hit 80.  If it's not going to snow yet, it might as well be warm right?

Tuesday  High Temperatures (00z gfs via COD)