Monday, July 7, 2014

7/7: Front to Bring Scattered Storms Next Few Days; Nice End of the Work-Week

Monday (7/7) 10pm
Heat and humidity were back on the rise today.  Tomorrow will feel similar but with a better shot at an isolated evening storm. This will all be out ahead of a slowly approaching cold front that will stall out across our area by midweek 

WPC Forecast Surface Map for Tuesday 8pm
The 18z nam reflectivity shows a line of pre-frontal storms crossing the Valley during the evening hours.  Although I think this model may be a bit overdone, this will be the time frame to watch for a bit of scattered storm action.

18z nam reflectivity Tuesday 5pm
This front will remain stalled across the southern mid-Atlantic through the rest of the week.  Just how far south it makes it (and how fast) will help determine just how high our chances for showers and storms are each day.  Right now, I think it will push far enough by Thursday to put us on the less muggy side with decreased rain chances.

Shenandoah Valley 3 Day Forecast
Tuesday- High: 90.  Low: 69.  50% scattered evening thunderstorms.
Wednesday- High: 88.  Low 69.  50% scattered evening thunderstorms.
Thursday- High: 85.  Low: 62.  10% isolated evening shower.

165 days 'til Winter!

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